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SethCotlar's profile
Seth Cotlar
Seth Cotlar
Seth Cotlar
@SethCotlar

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Seth Cotlar

@SethCotlar

Teaches American History at Willamette University. Wrote a book on Tom Paine and the Americans who hated/loved him. Writing a book on nostalgia in 19th C Am.

Salem, Or
medium.com/@sethcotlar
Joined May 2014

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    Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

    Seth Cotlar Retweeted Seth Cotlar

    Every now and then I check in to the official FB page of the GOP for the Central Pennsylvania county in which I grew up, and where my family had lived since the 1910s.https://twitter.com/SethCotlar/status/1119736875386675200?s=20 …

    Seth Cotlar added,

    Seth Cotlar @SethCotlar
    1. Here's a meme posted on FB by the GOP of Cambria County, PA. It was liked 761 times and shared 151 times. The voting age population of the county is only about 100K. But the real story is in the comments... pic.twitter.com/6xFom318jl
    Show this thread
    3:33 PM - 29 Sep 2019
    • 22 Retweets
    • 99 Likes
    • garlic444victory Dis LazyAnole cryogenic store of value Miles Hamilton Ellen Auchter alone in a technological bubble PG Dr. Derp
    7 replies 22 retweets 99 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        The mood on the page over the past few days has been....angry, defiant, and a bit trigger-happy if I'm going to be totally honest. There's the usual stuff about taking guns and banning Jesus and socialism taking your money to help undeserving people.pic.twitter.com/xLNxq0RcnH

        4 replies 3 retweets 48 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        But then there's even more apocalyptic stuff about the end times and the need to be prepared. The mainstream media has become state media (though media against the head of state, but whatevs), and also it's time to read 2 Timothy 3.pic.twitter.com/YgGSN7Rpkl

        1 reply 1 retweet 47 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        All of this talk about "the last days" intersects with posts about the supposed coming Civil War. While some people responded with calm resolve and some sadness, others are "cocked, locked, and ready to rock."pic.twitter.com/EoJPGfO1Qe

        4 replies 7 retweets 39 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        Some fans of that FB page and the President have taken things even a bit further.pic.twitter.com/IMLr3jnGe1

        5 replies 7 retweets 43 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        I grew up with some of the folks who follow and like that page. I find it very hard to believe that they would engage in actual violence against the government. In part because they have homes and kids and boats and don't want to go to jail.

        3 replies 3 retweets 52 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        But basic statistics would suggest that there is more than one really unstable and well armed person in that county who just might be moved to do something drastic on the basis of the rhetoric and "information" provided on that page.

        2 replies 5 retweets 58 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        Seth Cotlar Retweeted Seth Cotlar

        The radicalization of the local, grassroots GOP leadership is, I argue in this thread, THE story of the past 4 years. I've seen mild mannered HS friends turned into Qanon addicts spoiling for ultimate vengeance against "our enemies."https://twitter.com/SethCotlar/status/1106959770202734592?s=20 …

        Seth Cotlar added,

        Seth Cotlar @SethCotlar
        17. How many times do your trusted political leaders have to tell you that we are being "invaded" and it is our duty to repel the invaders, before you take that to mean it's time to grab your gun and get on the front lines? pic.twitter.com/9wmGIPHz5r
        Show this thread
        3 replies 29 retweets 111 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        Seth Cotlar Retweeted Seth Cotlar

        It's not like this is the first time that conspiracy theories like Qanon or "the deep state" have played a major role in our political culture. Here's a tour through the many conspiracy theories that have absorbed the minds of Americans since the 1790s.https://twitter.com/SethCotlar/status/1025046399044411393?s=20 …

        Seth Cotlar added,

        Seth Cotlar @SethCotlar
        1. QAnon is just the most recent in a long line of wacko conspiracy theories that have shaped American political culture. This should bring some comfort (we've been here before), but also is indicative of just how tense our current political moment is. https://n.pr/2OCN4Pk 
        Show this thread
        1 reply 5 retweets 47 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        But several things strike me as distinctive about this moment. 1) the election of Obama combined with NRA propaganda encouraged people to stock up on guns. 2) the local GOP leadership (mostly folks who live in nice houses & drive nice cars) are co-signing this saber-rattling.

        1 reply 6 retweets 48 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        ...3) the person in the WH is encouraging this talk about "coups" and the need to defend America from the dangerous Democrats. 4) There is a well-financed channel (Fox News) and broader right wing media infrastructure that can hive folks off from the national conversation.

        1 reply 5 retweets 47 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        To be clear...while the class composition of the pro-Trump vote in this county is diverse, it contains a large number of dentists, doctors, lawyers, police officers, and business owners. It's hard for me to see how they think their economic interests will be served by civil war.

        1 reply 5 retweets 55 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        And yet...here's the county's official FB page coming right up to the edge of (if not actually) inciting political violence in the name of God and Trump. When someone says "yeah, Civil War, locked and loaded" no moderator comes on and says "that would be illegal."

        2 replies 3 retweets 49 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        When people respond to a biblical passage by identifying themself as a "killing machine" ready to go into battle for Christ, does their minister talk them down? Or do they rile them up? Or do they just ignore it?

        1 reply 5 retweets 56 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        By driving the moderates out of the party, by driving people who care about scientific truth out of the party, by driving the people who are able to detect authoritarian propaganda out of the party, the GOP has created the conditions for political violence, as we've already seen.

        1 reply 17 retweets 80 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        I suspect there's a high probability that this is just empty bluster, all of this FB chatter. I certainly hope that is the case. But you'd think local leaders, people with a vested interest in maintaining basic civic order, would not be playing with fire like this.

        2 replies 4 retweets 52 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        The fact that the official GOP page in this county (where about 1/3 of the people voted for Clinton) is encouraging people to look upon their neighbors who are Democrats as "enemies" who want to put them in a concentration camp is wildly irresponsible.

        1 reply 13 retweets 52 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        This is the unemployment rate for the county. It's hard to detect a significant shift that began when Trump took office.pic.twitter.com/sEuLoqMoVw

        1 reply 2 retweets 25 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        The median income has remained pretty much the same from Bush through Obama and into 2017. I would be surprised if 2018 showed any sort of significant upward tick.pic.twitter.com/DNTipLwHo1

        1 reply 3 retweets 25 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        This was once coal country. 2 of the towns that fed into my school were company towns Colver (named for Mr. Colman & Mr. Weaver, the owners) & Revloc (Colver spelled backwards, no sh*t) founded in the 1910s. Since 2016, a few coal jobs have come back.https://www.tribdem.com/news/big-year-for-cresson-mine-may-be-employed-by-end/article_6c591ef2-0314-11e8-86a0-6bf34041185c.html …

        2 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
        Show this thread
      21. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        But look, there are 130,000 people who live in this county. 40 coal jobs are not going to make a difference. Things are not suddenly much better or worse there. These are not the conditions that would inspire one to say "pick up your musket Bob, time for Civil War."

        1 reply 3 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      22. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        The Trump Cambria County FB page, as far as I've seen, has offered exactly ZERO policy proposals that would improve the lives of the people who live there. ZERO. What they offer is a chance to save America from the Soros-funded, God-hating, baby killing Socialist gun grabbers.

        1 reply 8 retweets 61 likes
        Show this thread
      23. Seth Cotlar‏ @SethCotlar 29 Sep 2019

        Apologies for the long rant, but I'm angry on behalf of the place I grew up and the people who live there who are being so ill served by the army of well-off and powerful people who have led them down the Trumpian, authoritarian rabbit hole of angry victimization.

        11 replies 10 retweets 113 likes
        Show this thread
      24. End of conversation

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