it will end up being decentralised vs centralised reoccurence of greek states vs persian state guess which way crypto incentivises people also china has poor military, massive spending to catch up inner parts of china also have tension with other parts of china machine imo
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China's military inferiority is why they're doubling down on AI, ML, IoT, cyberwarfare. Most likely this will never become a hot war. Every day that passes US military superiority wanes in importance.
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Interesting re. crypto and internal tensions though. China is particularly vulnerable. Though it will mutate quickly and spread. China as patient zero
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hot wars still important in proxy wars
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True, though even proxy wars feel more like a 20th century thing. Suppose it's possible the US and China could have one, perhaps over rare earth minerals or shipping lanes in SE Asia, but I'm not sure who the proxies would be.
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Yemen is the most obvious proxy war today, but it's between Saudi and Iran not great powers (though US is complicit). Syria is sort of, but the US had a hard time finding a reliable proxy.
End of conversation
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