This from one source Oct. 8th (take it whatever grains of salt you would for media/polling): Toss ups in purple but also lean Senate races in NY/NH + AZ/FL House leans in ME/NH/CT + MIpic.twitter.com/jdwdz1UQXC
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For the record: among Senate leans NY control is tied (they are in coalition) & other three are all GOP controlled. So goal is to hold. Among House: CT currently in Dem hands (looking for a flip), ME is coalition (where Dems may take control outright), NH/MI are looking to hold.
Likewise for purple Senate toss ups: WI/ME/CO are all GOP looking to hold. CT only potential flip. AK is only House toss up, looking to break coalition & go full GOP control (already have majority, cucks need to be forced out or margin expanded where they can’t force coalition).
This is a hard map for GOP (much like Dems nationally in Senate this season, GOP has a lot of gains they’re forced to defend). Dems want to route GOP in northeast + CO. GOP only real hope for pick up is CT (both chambers) + break AK coalition, hold anywhere else (FL/MI etc).
Dems know NH + ME were too close in 2016. Looking to punish GOP & take back both legislative bodies in both states. Also force GOP out of NY + CO Senates (thus giving Dems total leg control in both states). Surprised CT is competitive but it is & that’s a chance for GOP to gain.
GOP looking reasonably ok for holding FL/AZ Senates + MI House. MI was closer than ME/NH in 2016, but I’m suspecting the voters in rust belt aren’t as shitlibby as in New England. Just a guess. More blue collar people.
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