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SelimSeesYou's profile
Selim Bradley 🇺🇸
Selim Bradley 🇺🇸
Selim Bradley  🇺🇸
@SelimSeesYou

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Selim Bradley  🇺🇸

@SelimSeesYou

I will be watching you from the shadows.

Joined March 2013

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    Selim Bradley  🇺🇸‏ @SelimSeesYou Oct 9

    Selim Bradley  🇺🇸 Retweeted Selim Bradley  🇺🇸

    Even these tho: this is Nate’s probabilities smashed together (75% chance Dems retake House, 80% chance R’s keep Senate). For my own part, I don’t think his House number should be that high. I think it’s a much closer race than 3 to 1 odds. But that’s conjecture on my part.https://twitter.com/SelimSeesYou/status/1049772576925515776 …

    Selim Bradley  🇺🇸 added,

    Selim Bradley  🇺🇸 @SelimSeesYou
    Roughly according to Nate anyway (re: CNN poll finding only 4% of Americans predict split control): R Sen/D House: 60% chance R Sen/R House: 20% chance D Sen/D House: 15% chance D Sen/R House: 5% chance Split chambers 2 to 1 favorite (particularly first scenario), then R/R win. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1049676916293332993 …
    2:35 PM - 9 Oct 2018
    • 8 Likes
    • MT Senpai 3:16 🇺🇸 🚁 Spooky Barron Admiral Americanus Esoteric Bullshit Formerly a complacent NPC 🚁 ANGERY Kaiser Willy II Reuenthal_800
    1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Spooky Barron‏ @LoneStarHyde Oct 9
        Replying to @SelimSeesYou

        He does use his own polling method when he predicts who wins the house where he try’s to ”Fix” the polls and he does that by adding points to the Dems to account for “disproportional voter enthusiasm for Dems”

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3.  🎃 Spooky Ika  🎃‏ @realikamusume Oct 9
        Replying to @LoneStarHyde @SelimSeesYou

        Waiting to see Ann Selzer's next set of numbers.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Spooky Barron‏ @LoneStarHyde Oct 9
        Replying to @realikamusume @SelimSeesYou

        Who posts those?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5.  🎃 Spooky Ika  🎃‏ @realikamusume Oct 9
        Replying to @LoneStarHyde @SelimSeesYou

        Various outlets. Selzer is one of the few both Nate and I trust.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Spooky Barron‏ @LoneStarHyde Oct 9
        Replying to @realikamusume @SelimSeesYou

        Fucking lol just searched them up and I find redditers on r/bluewave2018 arguing about their last generic they posted which was dem +2

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      7.  🎃 Spooky Ika  🎃‏ @realikamusume Oct 9
        Replying to @LoneStarHyde @SelimSeesYou

        If she says it's D+2, it's D+2. Give or take at most 2 pts either way.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      8. Spooky Barron‏ @LoneStarHyde Oct 9
        Replying to @realikamusume @SelimSeesYou

        What did she get for 2016 And 2014?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      9.  🎃 Spooky Ika  🎃‏ @realikamusume Oct 9
        Replying to @LoneStarHyde @SelimSeesYou

        2016: Clinton +3 (final result was Clinton +2). 2014, I can't find her generic congressional ballot polling, but she got Iowa right in that election.https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/2014/11/05/ann-selzer-iowa-poll-des-moines-register-iowa-senate-race/18536229/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      10. 3 more replies

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