Polling right now vs polling at the same time ahead of the 2006 midterms, the last midterm Dems won big.pic.twitter.com/2zs3EeINLa
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In 2006 the RCP average had Dems at +11.5 & they came in at +7.9 Right now they aren’t even polling at 7.9, they’re polling at 6.6 Who knows what they’ll come in at even if they manage to hold 6.6 RCP average for the month That said, could see one of these in reverse. 2010.pic.twitter.com/mfpnUrjU9x
Where the Dems just run away w/ it. Entirely possible. But a month out, I don’t see anything on the horizon. Have to wait & see what post-Kav polling does. Maybe that will cause a run away Dem rise. I’m doubtful, but that could be my biases.
I also be the first to admit that in 2010 the GOP screwed the Dems by redrawing practically all the Congressional directs. That will probably save the majority. We need to keep this in mind for 2020 and the census. We can screw them another 10 years.
Back then they ran against the Iraq war...this ain’t that, for sure.
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