@SelimSeesYou have you seen the polling map. They low key trying to shift it back to the right, like no one will notice.
https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/ …
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The RNC has 20k organizers in play this midterm. Compared to 5k in 2016. The DNC hasn’t picked seats to lose. I has lost ok’ing at spending. The dems have spent hard on no win seats. I’ll send you the link when I get out of work today tomorrow morning
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Like this snap shot: 4 of those 34 toss ups. All went heavily Trump in 2016. We’ve seen big flip in PA w/ Lamb. Near miss in OH. But that’s a lot of advantage if 2016 momentum can be rebuilt even in part. Depends on what Trump does.pic.twitter.com/cOHaFOmMZL
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Those are in Kansas. Pretty sure those are safe imho
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Plus in the local race the rnc did better then Trump did
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Yea I’m seeing that. They don’t do polling on individual districts but some of these decisions confuse me (I’m sure there are reasons, I’m just a novice). Some districts were won by Dem in 2016 by 3 points: solid blue. GOP won by 20 points: lean red, anybody’s race really.
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So the solid or lean is based of current district polling. Remember Presidental election have higher turn out. So they use energy or excitement to estimate midterm turn out.
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Plus the list is for seats that were competitive as on July 6th. Look how many shifted solid red in a little over a month and a half
End of conversation
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