The return to the savagery of history can come all sorts of ways. Because it’s Weimerica we imagine the hyperinflation of Weimar will kick it off. Once the economy tanks shtf. But 1914 came out of a clear blue summer sky w/ no economic collapse needed for that one.
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It used to be understood as eternal. There’s a variety of circumstances (many technological/monetary) that have allowed us a respite here in Modernity. But as a betting man I don’t say that continues forever. I don’t think they’ll get post-scarcity globohomo utopia, ever.
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Even w/o a total collapse, even if technology progresses as it has, and monetary tricks can keep the party going, I think it’s just our (human) nature. We’ll find a way to screw it up. We are flawed. Or it won’t be everything it was supposed to be (already seeing that: Brazil).
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Brazil is apparently what it’s supposed to be. A lot of people aren’t gonna want that. Or they won’t once they have it & realize that was the final destination. Or even if it goes Star Trek the conflicts won’t end. History won’t be overcome. We’ll just be tribal w/ space ships.
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They’re never going to be satisfied. Either we’ll stop them or they’ll get what they want (good & hard as Mencken said). They’ll never win in the way they imagine because they can’t: what they want is utopian & anti-reality. It’s impossible to have what they want. And thank god.
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End of conversation
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The thing about the Civil War is it was first fought in microcosm - see Bleeding Kansas. In many ways, the tactics, the propaganda, the disregard for civilians by people who thought they were fighting a holy war, etc. were the same.
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US civil war was predictable. everyone knew tensions were high and everyone knew the situation was very precarious for many decades.
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