Dems need to win 25 seats to take back House (193->218) Since 1934, the avg change is +23 seats for opposition party. 3 months to go & so much can happen but akchually technically they have to hit slightly above historical norms to squeak by & win anything resembling victory.
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This is all presuming that we can have anything resembling "reliable" election results. Methinks the Party of “Russia Collusion!" is willing to win By Any Means Necessary. We are in a cold Civil War. Somewhere between a couple of months and a couple of years, it’s gonna heat up
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