Dems need to win 25 seats to take back House (193->218) Since 1934, the avg change is +23 seats for opposition party. 3 months to go & so much can happen but akchually technically they have to hit slightly above historical norms to squeak by & win anything resembling victory.
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They netted 31 circa 2006, the last time they had a real big midterm win (against a deeply unpopular president).
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