In OH 12 (special election today): GOP candidate won seat 67%/30% in 2016. We’ll see what happens. Dems are energized (and will be in November) on blind hatred of Trump. See if GOP voters can hold the line. Given how it went two years ago, lots of margin. Hopefully won’t lose it
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Also: beware of narratives. Whatever happens there will be a narrative. If Dems take it, there will need to be analysis as to why (and media will do muh blue wave bit obv). If they fail to take it, we’ll have to look at numbers. Media will try to spin of course. We’ll see!
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