If Trump plays his cards right. In 2010 House GOP got 44.8 mil & 40.1 mil in 2014. I would guess enthusiasm is higher now than it was in those two years (again: as long as Trump keeps up the momentum). Dems got 39mil/35.6mil respectively in those off year races. So they...
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Need Bush post-Katrina disaffection among GOP to sink their numbers into 35mil range (doesn’t seem likely) + angry enough electorate to break 40mil (the 2006 high water mark). The second is more plausible but again: they need both simultaneously to win this. I don’t see it.
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