Not if you check the data there isn’t. In most swing states GOP registration is up (net) on Dems. Young white men have moved 23 points in 2 years & are now breaking GOP as a demo. And Trump has the highest approval among Reps of any GOP prez ever. No one is “fleeing”.https://twitter.com/catlover0812/status/1024430431943516162 …
Voter registration. Larry has been tracking this (where he can find data) for awhile. Can visit state gov election websites to confirm.https://twitter.com/larryschweikart/status/1024420380302143488?s=21 …
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Thanks. Do you know where to get info by district?
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Nah. Can only ever find statewide usually.
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What are your thoughts on Republican turnout this year?
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Depends on Trump. If he can keep the enthusiasm up, we’ll have the turnout edge to overcome 5% down on generic ballot. If he cucks/screws us & morale is low, we lose the house. We won’t lose Senate in any realistic scenario I can see.
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I’m optimistic
End of conversation
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