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Conversation

Sean T at RCP is a free elf

Last time IA approached anything like R+4 (about where Selzer has it right now) was 1968.

1:29 AM · Nov 6, 2016

Replying to

Not even 1972? Maybe because McGovern was from neighboring SD

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Sean T at RCP is a free elf

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Nixon got 57.6% of the vote, just below national margin.

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@royal_nonesuch

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unskewed!

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Sean T at RCP is a free elf

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@royal_nonesuch

? It's an interesting observation, not pushback on the poll.

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Seems quite possible the 2024/2028 map will be blue everywhere on both oceans except SC, with just IL, CO, NM and MN in-between.

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Selzer polling in the primaries was not very good this cycle though...Not sure I believe this. I think Trump is ahead but <+4

@cordenthusiast

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it’s a movement

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Can it be?