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SeanTrende's profile
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Verified account
@SeanTrende

Sean T at RCPVerified account

@SeanTrende

Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.

Joined March 2010
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    Previous Tweet
    Sean T at RCP Verified account ‏@SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

    Wow. Of 49 competitive Sen. races in presidential years since 2000 (inclusive), the R candidate has run ahead of the POTUS candidate in 14.

    • Retweets 16
    • Likes 2
    • RogueBeaver David Shor stepheng Perfesser Getz Robert Stein Galt's Goat Dan Spencer Stars and Stripes Keydreaming
    7:08 AM - 22 Jan 2014
    16 retweets 2 likes
      1. Danny Vinik ‏@DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende Interesting. An indication of generally worse R senate candidates?

        0 retweets 0 likes
      2. Sean T at RCP ‏@SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

        @DannyVinik I actually think it has something to do with the libertarians and good recruiting by Ds.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Danny Vinik ‏@DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende Hmm libertarian idea is interesting. Are the 14 R candidates that ran ahead from earlier in 2000s? Or scattered across years?

        0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Sean T at RCP ‏@SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

        @DannyVinik 6 in 00, 0 in 04, 4 in 08, 5 in 12.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      5. View other replies
      6. Danny Vinik ‏@DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende Not much of a pattern. Thanks!

        0 retweets 0 likes
      1. Sean T at RCP ‏@SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

        @moelane @baseballcrank POTUS R.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      2. Dan McLaughlin ‏@baseballcrank 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende @moelane It's really a staggering indictment of the NRSC.

        2 retweets 0 likes
      3. View other replies
      4. Sean Davis ‏@seanmdav 22 Jan 2014

        @baseballcrank @SeanTrende @moelane Wow. No kidding.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Brandon Finnigan ‏@B_M_Finnigan 22 Jan 2014

        @seanmdav @baseballcrank @SeanTrende @moelane NEVER EVER EVER underestimate the GOP's incredible ability to lose.

        0 retweets 1 like
      6. Show more
      1. Varad Mehta ‏@varadmehta 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende That's bad, right? And how are you defining competitive, +/- how many points?

        0 retweets 0 likes
      2. Sean T at RCP ‏@SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

        @GWhistorian Just through experience and recollection.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Varad Mehta ‏@varadmehta 22 Jan 2014

        @SeanTrende Fair enough.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      1. Stars and Stripes ‏@StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014

        Goes a long way toward explaining why the GOP doesn't control the Senate today despite having won solid control of the House. @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      2. View other replies
      3. CROSSPATCHe ‏@VictorB123 22 Jan 2014

        @StarzandStrypz Metro areas tend to be Democrat. Harder to get Republican Senators in many states. @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      4. View other replies
      5. Stars and Stripes ‏@StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014

        @VictorB123 There's some truth to that, but Dems still do a much better job recruiting good candidates in competitive states. @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      6. View other replies
      7. CROSSPATCHe ‏@VictorB123 22 Jan 2014

        @StarzandStrypz Republicans COULD have had a winning R Senate candidate in DE, for example with Mike Castle. Ran O'Donnell @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Stars and Stripes ‏@StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014

        @VictorB123 Yes. Then there's Sharron Angle, Rick Berg, Todd Akin, Dick Mourdock, Ken Buck... too many blown opportunities. @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      9. CROSSPATCHe ‏@VictorB123 22 Jan 2014

        @StarzandStrypz But worse, those candidates primaried a candidate that was beating the Dem head to head. @SeanTrende

        0 retweets 0 likes
      10. View other replies
      11. Stars and Stripes ‏@StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014

        @VictorB123 "The GOP," as you put it, is to blame for passively sitting around & allowing a bunch of clowns to go unvetted b4 its too late.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      12. View other replies
      13. CROSSPATCHe ‏@VictorB123 22 Jan 2014

        @StarzandStrypz Not really. In each of those cases the clown candidates were asked, begged, pleaded with not to run. They didn't just "sit"

        0 retweets 0 likes
      14. Show more

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