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SeanTrende's profile
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Verified account
@SeanTrende

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Sean T at RCPVerified account

@SeanTrende

Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.

Joined March 2010

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    Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014

    Wow. Of 49 competitive Sen. races in presidential years since 2000 (inclusive), the R candidate has run ahead of the POTUS candidate in 14.

    7:08 AM - 22 Jan 2014
    • 16 Retweets
    • 2 Likes
    • RogueBeaver David Shor stepheng #FlytheW Perfesser Getz Robert Stein Galt's Goat Dan Spencer Stars and Stripes Keydreaming
    8 replies 16 retweets 2 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Danny Vinik‏Verified account @DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende Interesting. An indication of generally worse R senate candidates?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @DannyVinik

        @DannyVinik I actually think it has something to do with the libertarians and good recruiting by Ds.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Danny Vinik‏Verified account @DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende Hmm libertarian idea is interesting. Are the 14 R candidates that ran ahead from earlier in 2000s? Or scattered across years?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @DannyVinik

        @DannyVinik 6 in 00, 0 in 04, 4 in 08, 5 in 12.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Danny Vinik‏Verified account @DannyVinik 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende Not much of a pattern. Thanks!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Stars and Stripes‏ @StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Goes a long way toward explaining why the GOP doesn't control the Senate today despite having won solid control of the House. @SeanTrende

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. BeleaguredCrosspatch‏ @VictorB123 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @StarznStrypz

        @StarzandStrypz Metro areas tend to be Democrat. Harder to get Republican Senators in many states. @SeanTrende

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Stars and Stripes‏ @StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @VictorB123

        @VictorB123 There's some truth to that, but Dems still do a much better job recruiting good candidates in competitive states. @SeanTrende

        4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. BeleaguredCrosspatch‏ @VictorB123 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @StarznStrypz

        @StarzandStrypz Republicans COULD have had a winning R Senate candidate in DE, for example with Mike Castle. Ran O'Donnell @SeanTrende

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Stars and Stripes‏ @StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @VictorB123

        @VictorB123 Yes. Then there's Sharron Angle, Rick Berg, Todd Akin, Dick Mourdock, Ken Buck... too many blown opportunities. @SeanTrende

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. BeleaguredCrosspatch‏ @VictorB123 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @StarznStrypz

        @StarzandStrypz But worse, those candidates primaried a candidate that was beating the Dem head to head. @SeanTrende

        3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Stars and Stripes‏ @StarznStrypz 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @VictorB123

        @VictorB123 "The GOP," as you put it, is to blame for passively sitting around & allowing a bunch of clowns to go unvetted b4 its too late.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      9. BeleaguredCrosspatch‏ @VictorB123 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @StarznStrypz

        @StarzandStrypz Not really. In each of those cases the clown candidates were asked, begged, pleaded with not to run. They didn't just "sit"

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      10. 6 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende That's bad, right? And how are you defining competitive, +/- how many points?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @varadmehta

        @GWhistorian Just through experience and recollection.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende Fair enough.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Moe Lane (@Ogiel23)‏ @moelane 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende @baseballcrank POTUS D, or POTUS R?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @moelane

        @moelane @baseballcrank POTUS R.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 22 Jan 2014
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        @SeanTrende @moelane It's really a staggering indictment of the NRSC.

        1 reply 2 retweets 0 likes
      5. 1 more reply

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