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SeanTrende's profile
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
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@SeanTrende

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Sean T at RCPVerified account

@SeanTrende

Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.

Joined March 2010

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    Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jun 14

    The three remaining big ticket SCOTUS cases (Obamacare, Free Exercise, and VRA) are less interesting for how they are going to turn out than for how they are going to be written.

    6:28 AM - 14 Jun 2021
    • 9 Retweets
    • 56 Likes
    • Rquebus Kate Clement Sam Stoltz Bryan Fisher Marcus Matt Zelinsky Bryan Lowry Ted Martin Pablo Arias Vecino
    3 replies 9 retweets 56 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jun 14

        It seems likely, for example, that AZ will win the VRA case. But there are a wide variety of ways that opinion can be written. AZ Dems could even conceivably "win" the case while losing, depending on how it is written.

        2 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
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      3. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jun 14

        It seems likely that Alito is writing the Free Exercise case, which seems to suggest that liberals are both going to lose and not particularly like the outcome, even though you might have a liberal justice or two concur in the judgment for the particular outcome.

        1 reply 2 retweets 15 likes
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      4. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jun 14

        Likewise seems likely that Roberts has the O-Care case. Almost certain that conservatives lose that one, perhaps unanimously, but again, *how* they lose can be consequential, and Roberts has a way of achieving doctrinal victory while taking a policy defeat.

        4 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
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      5. End of conversation
      1. Duncan Patrick‏ @doughnutduncan Jun 14
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Or rather whom is going to write them.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Fakeserpounce-Standing With Israel.‏ @fakeserpounce Jun 14
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Please continue your commentary on SCOTUS opinions. All I do is family law so it’s great to get succinct commentary on Con Law issues.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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