I mean, it's probably one of the most consequential near-misses to our modern political timeline. Truman gets 303 E.V.s in 1948. He wins OH by 7,100 votes and CA by 17,900. If that flips no one gets a majority and it goes to the House. 2/
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After the 1948 elections, the Democrats controlled 25 House delegations, 19 for Republicans, and 4 split. But 11 of the House delegations were controlled by Southern Democrats. 3/
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Maybe Rs and Ds would have banded together to elect Truman, perhaps with Warren as the vice president. 4/
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But the other possibility is that the Dixiecrats would have extracted concessions from the Democrats on Civil Rights. *Everything* changes in that universe. 5/
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One of the reasons that Truman adopted the CR platform in '48 is that Rs had made strong showings with the African-American community in '46, raising the possibility that AA Dem attachment from '34-'44 was an FDR-specific phenomenon. 6/
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So a major walkback on CR might have re-cemented AA attachment to Rs, and forestalled the Southern realignment. 7/
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Either way, it would have been a display of power by the Dixiecrats, leaving a Democratic Party terrified in future elections. Just a massive "what if." 8/8
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Really? Wow. Tell me more
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Weird shit happens when you have 4 candidates getting a sizeable number of votes
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I only just learned today that the whole left coast was the left coast to an extent even in 1948, other than the Jews of New York (he was VERY VERY pro-Zionist movement/Israel upon declaration) and the NPL people/remaining mining leftist in NoDak/Montana, it was the left coast
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