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SeanTrende's profile
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP
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@SeanTrende

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Sean T at RCPVerified account

@SeanTrende

Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.

Joined March 2010

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    Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 10 Sep 2020

    The thing that has surprised me the most as we enter the stretch is Pennsylvania's continued status as the best state of the "Big 3" (PA/MI/WI) for Trump. I thought that would be by far his biggest stretch given Biden's Scranton ties and the dominance of the Philly burbs.

    9:31 AM - 10 Sep 2020
    • 32 Retweets
    • 236 Likes
    • Sam Adams Michæl daniella smith bradley atishay jain Chris Brown BRIAN FUNNAGAN Alec MacGillis 2021 is better
    49 replies 32 retweets 236 likes
      1. Gary Armstrong‏ @vanityman 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        If you really want to understand the dynamics of Scranton, read That Championship Season.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      2. Sok‏ @sokicamz 10 Sep 2020

        Or pushing a narrative

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. PollWatch‏ @PollWatch2020 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Rural PA is going to be huge for Trump.

        5 replies 5 retweets 114 likes
      3. Kenneth Dreesen‏ @Dreesenkl 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @PollWatch2020 @SeanTrende

        Biden's up by 6. Elderly will go for him huge. Trump is toast.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Jay Lampert‏ @MortChristenson 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        I'm not sure we are entering the stretch yet. Maybe coming out of the backstretch and going into the far turn.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Jay Lampert‏ @MortChristenson 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @MortChristenson @SeanTrende

        Of course, since the race sort of began about 3 years ago, you could say this is the stretch.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Politics_Follower‏ @PoliticsFollow6 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Yes, but Obama margins in both his elections were MI > WI > PA. So PA being tighter isn't really that surprising.

        2 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
      3. Dan Polovina‏ @danpolovina 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @PoliticsFollow6 @SeanTrende

        I didn't realize that. Thanks.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Fyodor‏ @Fyodor32768 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @SeanTrende

        Also PA gave Democrats their best 2018 results among the three .

        1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
      3. Josh Hunt‏ @Bouje99 10 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Fyodor32768 @SeanTrende

        Michigan was closest in 2016 tho. I wouldn’t be shocked if we end up with neither candidate taking all 3, even though I realize the odds are high that one of them will take all 3.

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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