If 12,500 votes in California and Ohio switch to Dewey, Truman has 253 electoral votes, short of what he needs for a majority in the Electoral College. So the election then goes to the House. 2/
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In the House, it is the *new* House that votes. Each state delegation gets a vote. By my count, after the 1948 election, Rs control 18 delegations, four are tied, 15 are Northern Ds, and 11 are Southern Ds. 3/
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Truman likely would have been elected president, but the South would have extracted severe concessions on civil rights, and the message would have been sent: Rowe was wrong about the South in his famous memo; Democrats could not afford to cross it on civil rights. 4/
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12,500 votes utterly changed the course of our nation's history. /fin
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And what would the house have done?
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less than half a point iirc.
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So was George Wallace in 1968, and that just about happened
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Thurmond came closer to suceeding though
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Great thread
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I wonder if anyone has sent this map to
@MittRomney.pic.twitter.com/jtrA5gMDTo
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His presence would make no difference. If neither candidate reaches 270, it goes into the House, where state delegations vote individually and GOP wins.
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