🚨🚨🚨 A group of 70 national security leaders, including Secretary Robert Wilkie, David Norquist and Michele Flournoy, have written to Congress to urgently address STEM immigration to counter the threat posed by the Chinese Communist Party.
Sean McElwee
@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee’s Tweets
After targeting rats, now Mayor Eric Adams is taking on meat. He says 20 percent of the city's greenhouse gas emissions come from household food consumption, primarily from meat, and commits to reducing carbon emissions from food purchases by city agencies by 33 percent by 2030.
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Our new exit poll with & shows that Democrats’ strong performance in the election was a direct result of their popular, progressive economic agenda. 🧵
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Big new post-election poll from today.
Our findings suggest that Democrats' strong midterm performance was a *result* of their progressive economic agenda — not in spite of it.
Polling with our friends at and 👇
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NEW POLL w/ PCI: Voters who are concerned about inflation reject Republican 'solutions' to rising costs like cutting Social Security.
Voters instead support cracking down on price-gouging and raising wages and benefits.
Crosstabs: filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/
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NEW 2024 FLORIDA POLL: In a survey of likely Florida Republican primary voters, we find that Governor DeSantis leads Trump by a +2-point margin. In a head-to-head matchup, DeSantis leads Trump by eleven points.
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A new report finds that companies who cover out-of-state travel for employees seeking abortion care have donated $2.4 million to anti-choice politicians.
For Microsoft and Amazon, this practice drops their favorability by 61 points.
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NEW: Post-Dobbs, corporations announced they would cover expenses for abortion care. We find that these companies donated over $2.4M to campaigns of anti-choice politicians responsible for state-level abortion bans, including many on Tuesday's ballot.
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Great piece from on the value of prediction markets for journalists and the need for legal, regulated prediction markets for elections and a broad range of social, political and economic questions.
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Despite the historic achievement in passing the Inflation Reduction Act, a new poll from finds likely voters are relatively unaware of its provisions — or its status.
Just 39% of voters know the Inflation Reduction Act is signed law.
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Prediction markets strengthen democracy and progressives should support regulated markets for elections and other causes. Thrilled to join , @EthanBWinter, , and others calling for CFTC to allow regulated prediction markets.
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Important piece today from Political Director on the climate movement’s monumental victories in the Inflation Reduction Act — and how progressives must shift to the “fine-print work of implementing this law with zeal.”
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Is Gov. Kathy Hochul race closer than Dems would like? Sure. But is right: “some portion of this narrative is being driven by right-wing pollsters.” The GOP is encouraging red wave talk in the face of more equivocal data.
My column
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Full disclosure: I'm talking my book here. I enjoy political betting markets, but I'm sort of blown away by the idea they could *undermine* our elections. Honestly in 2020 they were really useful (though quite dumb post 11/15 or so) in showing where things stood re: Red Mirage.
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It's deeply disturbing that "a band of Washington insiders, business titans and top economists" are willing to risk the integrity of our democracy by allowing betting on U.S. elections, as @declanharty @Politico details in his story. politico.com/news/2022/10/2
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I've always said that treating farm animals better isn't a Democrat issue or a Republican issue. It's about basic decency that's in all of us. I'm very happy to see this sentiment reflected in the new analysis by .
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NEW MEMO: Earlier this month, SCOTUS heard a case to overturn Prop 12, one of the strongest legal protections of animal welfare in the country.
82% of likely voters in California support Prop 12, including 79% of Independents and 71% of Republicans. dataforprogress.org/memos/pigs-on-
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“Message-testing from Data for Progress found that Social Security ‘is one of the best-testing issues for Democrats.’”
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Every Democrat in the country should be talking about the threats to Social Security right now. It’s top of mind for voters — and it’s why has been urging people since the summer to lean hard into this message.
Me in today:
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The SCOTUS is considering overturning Prop 12, one of the strongest legal protections of animal welfare in the US. New polling shows that California voters overwhelmingly support Prop 12 and greater corporate transparency on animal welfare.
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NEW MEMO: Earlier this month, SCOTUS heard a case to overturn Prop 12, one of the strongest legal protections of animal welfare in the country.
82% of likely voters in California support Prop 12, including 79% of Independents and 71% of Republicans.
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Amazing piece 👏🏻
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Prediction markets are a valuable source of information on elections, legislation and regulation, used by practitioners and citizens. A legal and regulated environment will make them even better. My case for why the CFTC should allow election markets. medium.com/@SeanMcElwee/w
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Prediction markets are a valuable source of information on elections, legislation and regulation, used by practitioners and citizens. A legal and regulated environment will make them even better. My case for why the CFTC should allow election markets.
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NEW: joins the DFP blog to highlight new polling that finds strong support for the SITE Act and building out transmission lines.
Voters support the SITE Act by a +58-point margin, including 70% of Independents and 65% of Republicans.
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To win in November, Democrats need to avoid the low youth turnout of the 2010 and 2014 midterms. A new survey from at examines the views of 18- to 29-year-olds on the economy, abortion rights and climate change.
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New polling from finds that Biden’s federal marijuana pardon is extremely popular (72% support), with majorities of voters across party lines in favor of the decision.
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The climate movement won historic victories with the IRA, CHIPS Act, and IIJA. The next phase of climate advocacy must focus on deploying those investments to reach our climate goals with a focus on equity and justice, argue and .
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Georgians want to see more good-paying jobs come to our state. So, I'm proud that the bipartisan jobs & competition bill will create or preserve 91,200 jobs across Georgia, according to .
I’ll keep fighting to bring more jobs to Georgia.
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The focus group talked to was fascinating to listen to. Great discussing Gen Z voters, their priorities, and mobilization on this episode
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Will young voters turn out for Dems in the midterms?
I sat down with a diverse group of Gen Z Biden voters in Orange County, and then talked to @cristinafortx, @dellavolpe, @evangelpenumaka, and their Member of Congress: @katieporteroc
crooked.com/podcast/chapte
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Really important policy research from and on how to decarbonize in an equitable way.
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NEW MEMO with : Child Tax Credit recipients strongly supported the policy — and rewarded Democrats with increased support while the checks were going out. But any advantages disappeared once the program was allowed to expire.
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Incredible announcement coming out of NYC! Hope to see other cities implementing similar policies to scale down climate emissions in a way that addresses public health + animal welfare
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Addressing climate change requires a serious plan to tackle agricultural emissions. NYC is rolling out a default plant-based hospital meals program that has 95% satisfaction from patients. Amazing work from @r_atcheson and @greenerdefault! twitter.com/i/status/15752
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Addressing climate change requires a serious plan to tackle agricultural emissions. NYC is rolling out a default plant-based hospital meals program that has 95% satisfaction from patients. Amazing work from and !
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Political leaders are waking up to the role food plays in the climate and health crises. NYC is trailblazing a healthier future by flipping the script on America’s harmful food norms—and serving plants by default.
Will your city be next? Get involved at betterfoodfoundation.org/cities
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Political leaders are waking up to the role food plays in the climate and health crises. NYC is trailblazing a healthier future by flipping the script on America’s harmful food norms—and serving plants by default.
Will your city be next? Get involved at betterfoodfoundation.org/cities
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NEW POLL with : Voters in eight swing states view messages on Social Security, healthcare, and taxes as the most convincing reasons to vote for Democrats over Republicans in the midterm elections.
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NEW: joins the Data for Progress Blog to make the case for guaranteed income. DFP polling finds that 63% of voters support direct cash payment programs to people in need.
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Kathy Hochul is up 13% on Lee Zeldin in a new Data for Progress poll - 52-39. Another 9% say they’re not sure.
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New polling suggests Gov. Hochul holds a healthy lead in the upcoming Gubernatorial election. Voters trust her on abortion and healthcare. Inflation Reduction Act and student debt relief both double digit support among New Yorkers.
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The most recent polling has shown the Gov. Hochul with a comfortable lead over Rep. Lee Zeldin, in a state where 70% of likely voters say abortion should be legal under most circumstances cityandstateny.com/politics/2022/
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The most recent polling has shown the Gov. Hochul with a comfortable lead over Rep. Lee Zeldin, in a state where 70% of likely voters say abortion should be legal under most circumstances
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Increasingly clear claims that education polarization spelled doom for Democrats were premature. Education polarization has downsides (geographic distribution) but also upside (higher turnout midterm coalition, stronger hard money base) and may well benefit Ds on net.
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New + research shows that the healthcare provisions like Medicare negotiation of prescription drugs and capping the price of insulin are midterm winners.
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