I agree - I think there is human error or neglect at this point. Why would 5 million people flee so soon from Wuhan? They knew how bad this was.
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the main reason is because of spring festival, millions of people would in &out as Wuhan is one of big cities in China……
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2019 nCov Transmission from Asymptomatic Case in Germanyhttps://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001468 …
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Expand on deeply concerning? Would you recommend US stop all travel?
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From a health POV yes. From an economic one no
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I mean CFR=deaths/cases value is totally useless for fast exponentially) growing epidemic. But everyone (WHO, media) is claiming that fatality rate of
#coronavirus 'is low' (2.2% vs 10% SARS's). But this value has no sense at all. It can't be estimated by deaths/cases formula. -
Hey Andrzej, we should be careful to be smarter than the WHO. If 75,000 cases are true then the current death rate is 0.2% which, even if it goes up as more people die, is on par with a bad "swine flu" rather than SARS. Fact is the 2% is garbage and it could be 0.1% - 10%.
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How much time?
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Not surprising, some MDs in Wutan had estimated 100k as of the 24th. Fair guess for early call.
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