Did you trust Nate Silver more than Dilbert in predicting the election? That wouldn't have worked out for you either.
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You may want to specify that you meant his "totally subjective" odds in August of 2015, before any of the primaries even occurred.
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Also, she *did* get more votes. I don't know if 538 ever broke down to electoral college, but saying more ppl wld vote for her was true.
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It's intellectually dishonest to use his "totally subjective" preliminary odds, instead of the disciplined statistical approach he took.
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And if you think that represents what scientific models of probability is... Then you're hallucinating. Hard.
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