Did you trust Nate Silver more than Dilbert in predicting the election? That wouldn't have worked out for you either.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @michaelianblack
Actually that would have worked fine if you understand the basic tenets of probabilistic modeling.
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Replying to @HillelSims @JonnyOrlansky and
Nate gave Trump like what, 1 in 3 odds? How is that a bad prediction? Especially considering he didn't clear popularity?
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Replying to @MWvonWalter @HillelSims and
I believe it was around 2% odds of Trump winning for most of the election cycle.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @MWvonWalter and
When someone's predicted a low chance of winning something, and they win, it doesn't make the prediction "wrong," that's probability
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Replying to @guav @MWvonWalter and
Yes, Captain Obvious.
7:33 AM - 10 Sep 2017
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