Shorter @ScottAdamsSays: "You scientists can't make me look beyond tired talking points & cliches!"
This is of course true. Sad.https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/839559848308039680 …
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Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
But since I'm in the mood for a totally futile exercise, here's why his points are disingenuous at best. Let's start with models... 1/n
10 replies 23 retweets 58 likes -
Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
Remember George Box? "All models are wrong, but some are useful". It's not just true for climate, but also quantum physics, GR, SM etc. 2/n
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Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
It would be criminally irresponsible for scientists not to explore real world impacts of real structural uncertainty in complex systems 3/n
2 replies 14 retweets 36 likes -
Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
And we *know* that climate is complex https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/research/aerosol/modeling/nr1_movie/ … 4/npic.twitter.com/wgzrM2zq6W
2 replies 13 retweets 32 likes -
Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
It's *because* some aspects of climate change are robust to model differences that we have confidence those aspects reflect reality, but…5/n
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Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
of course we need to (and do) evaluate predictions of these models in out-of-sample tests (incl. but not exclusively the future). 6/n
1 reply 8 retweets 22 likes -
Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
Here are some climate model predictions made ahead of time: Mt. Pinatubo: https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha00800v.html … Spatial patterns: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n3/full/nclimate3224.html …
4 replies 11 retweets 24 likes
How many climate predictions have been wrong? See why your science looks exactly like a scam?
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