For fun, I present the @ScottAdamsSays calibration curve!
I went through the archive and found 23 quantified predictions from Adams that could be scored, and scored them. ...He didn't do too well.pic.twitter.com/kaLBpCcR3i
You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more
Yes, a curve can still tell you if you’re over/under confident without showing the underlying predictions. Though, it’s possible to game a calibration score when you choose what you predict, so I take them with a grain of salt whenever that is the case https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19758358 …
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.