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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 21

      Seems a bit of a mystery to me that masks and social distancing completely eliminated normal seasonal flu deaths but not COVID-19. I see a few possible explanations.

      395 replies 1,273 retweets 7,409 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 21

      One explanation is that this novel coronavirus is much more catchable by its nature. Maybe. The other explanation is that normal seasonal flu deaths were never real. They are based on excess death estimates, I believe, not counting.

      64 replies 108 retweets 1,103 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Andreas Backhaus‏ @AndreasShrugged Feb 21
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      That's not a "maybe" but a "almost certainly", as we're fairly certain that R0 is larger for COVID-19 than for influenza. (Screenshot from Wikipedia)pic.twitter.com/0etmpFLv88

      1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
    4. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 21
      Replying to @AndreasShrugged

      Does it pass your sniff test that masks stop one virus completely and we can't even detect the impact of masks/distancing on this coronavirus enough to convince skeptics they make any difference at all?

      10 replies 2 retweets 26 likes
    5. Andreas Backhaus‏ @AndreasShrugged Feb 21
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      Masks aren't the only variable affecting the different spread of influenza and corona. So masks can have a greater risk reduction on influenza than corona and still make a difference on the dynamics of both.

      3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 21
      Replying to @AndreasShrugged

      I understand it's possible. It's just unlikely that auto deaths and seasonal flu deaths would be about the same number each year but most of us only know of auto deaths in our normal lives.

      6:30 AM - 21 Feb 2021
      • 29 Likes
      • President-Elect Profile Artist 💯👆 Miguelito Donna TeeCee The Unifier™ 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 Kate Storm Mike Rose Kit North Texas Software Guy
      7 replies 0 retweets 29 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Andreas Backhaus‏ @AndreasShrugged Feb 21
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

          I think I knew a person in the late stage of Alzheimer who eventually died from pneumonia. Maybe it matters how many people in care homes we know. I would guess, meaning I've not looked up the statistics, that most influenza deaths in the past have occurred there.

          2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
        3. Joe Rice‏ @ricejfx Feb 21
          Replying to @AndreasShrugged @ScottAdamsSays

          In the US, it appears we don't test very much for flu, but we test aggressively for Covid19. I feel there is an *implicit* assumption that they are tested for comparably in this discussion, but that doesn't appear to be so. This paper explains:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6038762/ …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Bruce Hoult‏ @BruceHoult Feb 21
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @AndreasShrugged

          Do you really know multiple people who have died in car crashes? Here in NZ it’s 1 in 15000 to 20000 each year, mostly from the … less educated … portion of the population. I’m almost 60 and I can’t think of anyone I’ve personally known who died in a car crash.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Bruce Hoult‏ @BruceHoult Feb 21
          Replying to @BruceHoult @ScottAdamsSays @AndreasShrugged

          Usually in winter about 5000 people in NZ feel sick enough to go to the doctor, get a lab test, and return positive for flu. About 500 die. In 2020 winter (6 months ago) there were 6 (six) positive tests, 0 deaths. They weren’t counted as COVID instead — we had 25 COVID deaths.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. jhoech‏ @jhoech2 Feb 21
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @AndreasShrugged

          Your observations are not by any means reliable. Way too much bias. I'm sure car crash deaths make into news. I trust the MMWR way more than your observations because it is put together by epidemiologists and statisticians. Is it perfect? No, but certainly better than musings.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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