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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      That depends on the specific claim in question (vague enduring fatigue? or specifically years-long physical damage? etc). But the same way anyone does, looking at the studies. To flip it around, what do you estimate the prevalence of "long COVID" or similar to be?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      More broadly, how convinced are you that the net increase in net wellbeing attributable to avoided COVID-19 mortality/complications will outpace the decrease in wellbeing due to school closures, economic devastation, suspended elective surgeries, general stress/anxiety/fear etc?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      You are conflating topics. Masks look like a smart cost-benefit play. School closings and business closings were smart during the initial fog of the unknown, but not at this point.

      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      I concede that; it occurred to me that you likely don't support all of those, but twitter length prevents/ed me from elaborating. Let's focus on that then - why does it look like a smart cost/benefit play to you? The theoretical mechanism doesn't even make sense.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      I do have to mention though that both school closures and business closures were not smart during the fog of the unknown. This is the fallacy that it's better to *do something* than to do nothing. If you're lost in a 20-dimensional space, don't start walking randomly

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      We both live in California, one of the most dedicated mask cults out there. Haven't you been people-watching when out and about? Don't you notice the dozens of times per hour that people touch their face to adjust their mask, pull their mask down to wipe their sweat, etc?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      Yes, and we also know (now) that hands and surfaces are not the big issue, and that doctors all know that risk when they recommend masks.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      Yes fomite transmission in general is not a big problem, but there's a big difference between that and having a warm, moist mask on your face for extended periods of time. Bacterial (and probably viral) proliferation is the problem. Not the same as a door knob or amazon package.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      Furthermore, it's actually a bit simplistic to say that fomite transmission is not a problem period. Like any pathogen, the real test is whether it gets exposed to a mucuos membrane. If you touch your lips/eyes/inside nose/sexual organs, infection is very likely.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      Also, with masks it's not just the contamination, it's also the altered behavioral dynamics. So if you truly believe COVID-19 (including long covid etc) is so dangerous, then the fact that people stand closer together, speak louder, exhale more aerosols etc should scare you.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      The current thinking is that you need about 15 minutes indoors at close quarters with an infected person to get it. If masks push that to 20 minutes, which seems reasonable, that's huge. And I don't see it making people stand closer. I see the opposite.

      12:22 PM - 2 Feb 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • The Police are your friends Kevin Watson
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Richard H. Ebright‏ @R_H_Ebright Feb 2
          Replying to @james1chas3 @ScottAdamsSays and

          No. (Viruses do not wear watches.)

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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