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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      Did someone tell you we solved the problem of long-haulers? And if you don't know what the question means, you have some research to do about the virus.

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      Well, I definitely think that the hype around "long COVID" (I assume that's what you're referring to) is completely overblown, and to the extent it occurs it also occurs in other viruses we don't freak out about. But more importantly, I do take that into account. Briefly...

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    3. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      You base that "thinking" on what? A hunch?

      5 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      I would use the word "priors". I've looked at the literature that claimed long-term hard damage, long-term lung damage, etc. In almost all cases it's overblown or statistically irrelevant. Let me give you some studies here:

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-27359/v1 … > Radiological abnormalities in patients of severe COVID-19 could be completely absorbed with no residual lung injury in more than two months’ follow-up

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1046/j.1440-1843.2003.00522.x … (SARS-1 pathology) > Preliminary evidence suggests that these lung function abnormalities will improve over time This is obviously SARS-1 but I think SARS-1 is a great model of what severe COVID-19 looks like.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      I know that a lot of the "long-term damage" claims are about more than just lung issues. Like I said, most of the literature I've seen is not very convincing. A couple months of fatigue following SARS-1 or severe SARS-2 infection? Sure. Life-long ME/CFS? Vanishingly unlikely.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @ScottAdamsSays and

      Anyway, like I said above, the great thing about the reasoning here is that even if long-haul COVID is not just real but is incredibly common, you can still work it into the math just fine. When I've done the napkin math, I always end up with containment being far worse

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      It isn't something we can model.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Ryan Kemper‏ @RyanKemper10 Feb 2
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      If it's not something you can model, why are you citing it when discussing how to make rational policy considerations? Either you can model it and thus should consider it, or you shouldn't use it as an arg. You seem to be using "model" to mean "model perfectly accurately" tho?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays Feb 2
      Replying to @RyanKemper10 @jreighley @TherealzCRS

      You don't need to model it. The risk of extra mask-wearing for healthy people is almost certainly minimal. The long term health consequences from what MIGHT be an engineered virus MIGHT be awful. Treat it like life insurance or accept being reckless as morally okay.

      12:07 PM - 2 Feb 2021
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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