Might be true, but it isn’t something that can be calculated with any confidence.https://twitter.com/RealSpikeCohen/status/1355104187437211648 …
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays
But you can definitely say with good confidence that lockdowns or masks saved a lot of people, am I right?
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays
How? Based on a model? Or by comparing to places that did not do these things and did just as well (or poorly)?
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Replying to @kucherov_anton
Same way I know that if I toss a ball in the air it will come back down. Don't need a model to know some things will work.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays
Yet there are peer reviewed papers showing that masks and lockdowns are ineffective I wonder how many peer review work there is that shows that if you toss a ball in the air it will not come back down. Or how many physicists there are who would claim that balls don't drop.
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Replying to @kucherov_anton
Nothing credible and on the right point. The mask studies are usually measuring the wrong thing and peer reviewed is not meaningful in today's world. Nearly 100% of medical experts and scientists are pro-mask. And it is also obvious (to me anyway) that it blocks SOME virus.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays
The fact something seems obvious and intuitive does not always make it right. Our human intuition was completely wrong about quantum physics, and often is wrong regarding small particles. Yes - masks do block some virus, but they may also nebulize some and more.
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Replying to @kucherov_anton @ScottAdamsSays
I am not saying they do nebulize - but looking at the only RCT or looking at places that do have mask mandates vs ones that don't, I would not say that mask effectiveness is as obvious as gravity (even though it seems, intuitively, that they should help ).
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Comparing different places with and without masks is nonsense. Too many other variables. And governments mandate masks where they expect the MOST infections. Causation is probably backwards.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @kucherov_anton
I can use your bad ball throwing analogy to say I don't need a study to know that if masks don't work in one place, they won't work in another.
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