Sometimes “too on the nose” is actually true.
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IOW SWAG
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That pretty much sums up every budget projection I’ve ever seen in my professional career
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Also seems to be the way any climate study is done. Except that most of them won’t even show their data or algorithms.
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Dot's it help you more in any way if i click the link as opposed to just reading the comic in the text?
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Used to work with someone who would say “the only thing I’m 100% confident of is that this isn’t the number. “
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Even when not guessing, predictions suffer from the 'decision-making paradox,' i.e. multi-criteria decision-making models yield different results from the same inputs. So, you need a model to evaluate the models, which... also yields different results:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decision-making_paradox …
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You obviously don't know about the work done by Martin Armstrong.
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