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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
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@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      In fact, the only thing that all places now at near zero deaths have in common is that they have reached antibody levels of approximately 15-20%, despite wildly different intervention policies.

      11 replies 281 retweets 1,106 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      But what about the 60% herd immunity number? That is only true if one plans for a vaccine herd immunity approach, where those vaccinated are essentially random. This is because the 60% approximation assumes a homogeneous population. But of course the population is not.

      9 replies 142 retweets 786 likes
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    3. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      Different people have different levels of susceptibility. So if left to spread in the wild, more susceptible people get the virus first and it becomes increasingly harder to spread. 15% antibody levels are not a random 15% This is explained in this study:https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.27.20081893v3 …

      12 replies 213 retweets 996 likes
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    4. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      And this study models heterogeneous herd immunity effects across real world covid data:https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762v1 …

      3 replies 105 retweets 602 likes
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    5. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      So why do some prisons get to above 20%? If exposed to a massive amount of a viral load through unnatural conditions (prisons, hospitals, etc.) then even those ordinarily not susceptible may go on to produce antibodies due to a massive dose of exposure.

      9 replies 101 retweets 662 likes
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    6. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      This is not to say that only 15-20% were exposed to covid. It says only 15-20% express antibodies, because many are able to kill coronaivrus before their body even needs antibodies. See study here from Science:https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/08/04/science.abd3871 …

      9 replies 234 retweets 959 likes
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    7. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      And remember that Diamond Princess Cruise Ship that was so heavily studied? They also reached 20% antibody levels.https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00885-w …

      8 replies 192 retweets 988 likes
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    8. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      So let's review: * No matter the intervention policy, hot spots decline when reaching ~15% antibody expression * Given a sufficiently large sample size, all hot spots stopped at 20-25% * Masks, businesses, schools, etc. all fail to explain it

      22 replies 597 retweets 1,816 likes
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    9. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      If it wasn't for Sweden, people could say the 15-20% is just a universal coincidence, and that it's the government's intervention which saved the day. The problem though is that Sweden does exist. And it blows that theory out of the water.

      34 replies 454 retweets 1,906 likes
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    10. Yinon Weiss‏ @yinonw 16 Aug 2020

      This doesn't mean some interventions can't help. But we simply cannot ignore the fact that Sweden never shut down, never closed schools, never wore masks, and reach the same results as those who did.pic.twitter.com/xSgYflc0yA

      268 replies 1,206 retweets 3,291 likes
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      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 16 Aug 2020
      Replying to @yinonw

      Sweden put a lot of brakes on their economy. It was never all open.

      6:03 PM - 16 Aug 2020
      • 4 Retweets
      • 70 Likes
      • man on the moon Jaaph Al “Fiery, but Mostly Peaceful” Dente 🇺🇸🦅⛳️ Lee Tucker jdiggs Linux Beach Southern Independent The Real Truther 😷朱旭东5.31
      10 replies 4 retweets 70 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Rob Stevens‏ @SocialDemSheff 16 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          Sweden 8th highest per Capita deaths (per 1M popn) = worse performance than USA and Brazilpic.twitter.com/XiWcabKm1q

          10 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
        3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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        2. Serious Cat‏ @SeriousCat5000 16 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          No they did not. Only events larger than 50 people were banned. Other than that, no other business were closed and only had to abide by local ordinances such as no standing in bars. Sweden never went into recession and AFAIK they're the only country in Western Europe to do that.

          1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
        3. Jaaph‏ @Jaaph3 16 Aug 2020
          Replying to @SeriousCat5000 @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/national-accounts/national-accounts/national-accounts-quarterly-and-annual-estimates/pong/statistical-news/national-accounts-second-quarter-2020/ … GDP down -8.6%.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. TheTimepiecePress‏ @AdrianPlombe 17 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          True. Almost all things voluntarily and as Johan Giesecke (advising Anders Tegnell) said on Unherd channel (YT) that is how it should be in a democracy (!). No abuse of state power by locking down healthy people involuntarily.

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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        2. K.C. Holliday‏ @KC__Holliday 17 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          But it certainly wasn’t shut down like NYC, which is now facing over 20% unemployment, the loss of thousands of small businesses, 100% increase in demand at foodbanks, and rising crime. Sweden chose a reasonable middle path, which is what we should have done.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. dtd‏ @dtd1985 3 Oct 2020
          Replying to @KC__Holliday @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          “We’re trying to get people to come back,” Cuomo said during a press conference this week. “They’re not coming back right now. And you know what else they’re thinking, if [they] stay there, they pay a lower income tax because they don’t pay the New York City surcharge.”

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Ryan  💭 🤑 💰 ✌🏻 ☮️‏ @RyanLiberty92 18 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          The only government action was ban large gatherings such as concerts. Other than that, all the “brakes” were done voluntarily; not violently (aka mandated by gov).

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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        1. Miss Conceptions‏ @MConceptions 18 Aug 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @yinonw

          Miss Conceptions Retweeted Ivor Cummins

          Need a wider set of data to look at. https://twitter.com/fatemperor/status/1295354726075248641?s=21 …https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1295354726075248641 …

          Miss Conceptions added,

          Ivor Cummins @FatEmperor
          Replying to @AndBeyond_N @yinonw
          https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1294811075293085696.html …
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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