Okay, smart people on Twitter, find the errors in this analysis of Sweden as a success story. https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1292801780515057665 …
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Covid herd immun may be lower because of existing antibodies in the population, possibly derived from prior coronas. Also: Sweden is nowhere near? Not in confirmed "cases", but total infections may be enough. 6000 deaths x 0.3 pct IFR is 2 million infections. Where am I wrong?
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Additionally, covid could well be the first man-made virus widely infecting populations. This means it may have a number of unique qualities, including shared antibodies with other viruses and a propensity to burn out more quickly through mutation.
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Excellent article by a Swedish MD, if you’re interested.https://sebastianrushworth.com/2020/08/04/how-bad-is-covid-really-a-swedish-doctors-perspective/ …
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Maybe I’m confused but I don’t believe for an instant that Sweden is at 3% post exposure rate. That’s insane. Must be much much higher. I care not what stats anyone throws at me. Common sense says no. Or if that’s true it is less transmissible and more lethal than thought.
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Stockholm is at about 17-20% with antibodies. About half of that for the whole of Sweden. And then we have studies about T-cells implying that maybe twice as many has had the disease, but not all have antibodies still in their system.
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