WHAT DO THE NUMBERS MEAN?
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There's too many to count.
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Assuming that each case has the same CFR jumps out immediately. Insulate most vulnerable during case spike period to resolve?
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cross immunity, seasonal thresholds, assumption on where "herd immunity" is at. besides, even if all our variables and assumptions were accounted for, and we don't see it in reality, then the model is wrong, not reality.
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i forgot differing death rates for different demographic segments.
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60% assumption to reach herd immunity may be wrong. NYC is at around 25% immune population and has pretty much reached herd immunity at this level.
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Do all the NYC deaths count in the census or not? Asking for a friendhttps://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2020/08/06/de-blasio-stresses-urgency-of-census-count-as-trump-shortens-data-collection …
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This calculation is an oversimplification.
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