Where's a prediction model that includes deaths from #COVID19 but also deaths from economic decline so I can see the crossover date? If you don't see that, don't let anyone tell you they are managing things "with data." That would be complete and utter bullshit.
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Well, it's not that simple. Once we go back to work, the economic death curve will switch direction and be downward-sloping and the COVID-19 death curve will be upward-sloping. There would be a new crossover point where we should stop working, reversing curve directions again.
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Predictive models are rarely simple. But to my prior point, if we can't model it, we are not "using data" to make decisions. We are guessing.
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