This answers @ScottAdamsSays question to @CT_Bergstrom . Absent vaccine, outcome requires herd immunity. Unchecked virus overshoots that. If lockdown, can get herd immunity with fewer deaths/infections. https://benjaminmoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/SIR_notes.pdf …
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Yes that is what the slides show. Most lockdowns lead to some overshoot. The margin is to reduce the overshoot.
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