We were told to "flatten the curve." Everybody understood that the area under the curve would be the same, i.e. total infections would be the same. The goal was to avoid spiking over the line -- the line being health care resources. We did.
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Dejar lord the autocorrect. All of these will be deleites soon
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For widespread community spread, curve will peak when enough people get infected thus reducing Rt. Total infections will be same in the long run no matter what approach is taken. Best is to get to the herd immunity as fast as possible while hospitals not overwhelmed
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As a first approximation, yes. But there are also momentum-like dynamics that could cause overshoot/many avoidable infections. Best policy (if initial containment fails) is to apply the brakes as the population approaches herd immunity...
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Summer?
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@ScottAdamsSays@benshapiro Flatten the curve with a prophylactic: hydroxychloriquine+zinc. "Out of 65,000 chronic patients (Lupus, RA), who systematically take hydroxychloroquine, only 20 patients tested positive. Nobody died, no intensive care, according to data, so far." - End of conversation
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There was no herd immunity and Ebola disappeared anyway.
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All CVs virtually disappear in the summers. Like clockwork.
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