Calculating the odds is different from predicting.
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Hr has such a good record predicting things
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A cartoonist and a sports nerd are our best sources of information in a pandemic?
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Are the "experts" that much better given how wrong they've been on general political punditry these past five years or so?
End of conversation
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Nate is a perfect example of how to be fooled by randomness. He's entertaining but not informative. Janky spreadsheets do not a forecaster make.
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@NateSilver538 and@538politics are very good at putting models in their full contextThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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First three words are confusing based on years of experience
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I looked through the thread and there seems to be a lot of confusion about concepts like herd immunity. That and some serious snark towards whoever disagrees with the commenter.
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Don’t be hasty Scott. Nate’s terrible in everything else he does
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