After opening, that would be on the low end, unless we get clever with science before then.
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Well, it's always hard to compare two different events, but I will try to relay what I've read over the months on it. The 2009 pandemic started in the middle of April. In end of June they estimated 1 million cases and in July double that. So it spread in the warm months.
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Now, thanks to it being a flu, we had 4 vaccines released in September that year. Even after the vaccine, and the first few million cases by September, CDC estimated that 20% of the US population contracted the virus through the second wave that started in October.
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It would be good if all the components could be quantified. It seems the masks made a huge difference in Taiwan and South Korea. Adding masks to the mix is almost a freebie. Almost no economic cost.
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Very true. This goes to the abstracts about people's behavior.
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