The medical community just sided with @ScottAdamsSays after his comments criticizing the viral Dr Erickson video yesterday
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Replying to @JackPosobiec @ScottAdamsSays
There is not even a debate. Erickson is clueless in math and stats. Here is a look at all causes of deaths average per week for past 4 years. Look at the explosion in March-April.pic.twitter.com/XacF8PXQ5K
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I'm not siding with Erickson, but don't make the mistake of extrapolating NY's numbers and acting like they make an argument on a national level.
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My post was a rebuttal to one of their stupid arguments about NY numbers being comparable to flu. Why can't you guys hold multiple opinions at same time. 1.
#COVID19 is lethal 2. Lockdowns help slow the spread 3. Lockdowns also hurt economy and we need a better system7 replies 0 retweets 7 likes -
Almost any respiratory virus is lethal, so #1 is not a relevant argument under the context. COVID19 is also the disease, not the virus. The virus is slightly more lethal than the flu, that is true. But the lethality is not nearly as high as originally thought.
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It has 30-80x the attack rate as the flu and about 5 to 10 times more lethal.
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It is not 10 times more lethal than the flu. It is 3-4x at most. Antibody studies from around the world are reinforcing this. I'm really curious where you are getting data that shows a 30-80x attack rate.
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Replying to @darkenrahl86 @Peacedividend1 and
To put in perspective how ridiculous the statement that the attack rate is 30-80x that of the flu, the flu has an attack overall of 3.5%. 30-80x would be an attack rate of 105-280%. I don't know about you, but that's not possible with a virus.
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Science&politics Retweeted Trevor Bedford
From following one of the world experts on this topic who was the first to identify the Seattle community spread early Feb.https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1253436656742305793?s=20 …
Science&politics added,
Trevor BedfordVerified account @trvrbWe can compare#COVID19 1% infection fatality rate with an expected >80% attack rate (R0 of ~3) to seasonal influenza with 0.1% IFR and yearly attack rate of ~10%. Simple math would put unmitigated spread as >80X worse than a typical flu season. https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1253398325245603840 …Show this thread2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
Well, you completely misrepresented what he said. The attack rate in that tweet is 8x that of the flu, not 30-80x. Also, the CDC estimates on attack rate are as high as 43.5%. That is only 3.5x the flu among unvaccinated individuals. https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/8/20-1274_article …
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I don't know if you are right, but you sound smart so I followed you.
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I'm just repeating data that is available from places like CDC, and NIH. I'm not interpreting it. So not smart, more like I can read and remember.
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Replying to @darkenrahl86 @ScottAdamsSays and
But it's always to earn a follower, so thank you for the vote of confidence. I won't hold it against you if you unfollow me tomorrow when my stupidity shows.
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