What happens when we look back at this situation and realize that everyone who said we should use data to make decisions got everything wrong because we can’t agree what data is credible and we don’t know how to compare things anyway?
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Which given the differences between Italy and the US equals bad data
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All things considered, at the time, it wasn't a bad decision. We're dealing with an unknown pathogen, not knowing how deadly it is but seeing it cut through China and Italy. Now, as we gain more data we reassess and change our strategies.
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If half the country says the measures are too extreme and the other half says we should have done more... Wouldn’t this be evidence that we got it about right?
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Scott the problem was no one tried to gather correct data. A smart high schooler knows that to estimate the denominator in true death rate u need to test random samples of your population. ZERO efforts were done to do this. They wanted this outcome there is no other explanation.
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Fauci was using models.
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I heard over and over again that millions of people were going to die if we did not do this. The data we had at the beginning showed 95+% of the people had mild symptoms. We knew who was the target of this virus.
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The advice of medical and legal experts is always excessively risk-adverse...from their point-of-view, there’s no downside. Can we prevent an overreaction to the next .1-.2% virus that comes around? Can we ever accept that old and unhealthy people WILL die from ANY stressor?
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Why no big grassroots protests here against China yet? Or boycotts? This is s big dog not barking, yes?
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And as a precaution against lack of good data. If you're not sure whether there's a round in the cylinder, maybe don't play Russian roulette.
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We didn’t.
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