If several studies show around a 0.12 mortality rate what would justify extended shut downs? https://twitter.com/ellencarmichael/status/1254024060406837248 …
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here in miami IFR is currently 0.17%. 287 deaths as of last night vs 165,000 infectionshttps://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article242260406.html …
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I think he's implying a number based on some of the studies that the denominator is bigger than we think. Even if that's the case if 70% of the population has to get it for herd immunity it would mean roughly 300k deaths.
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Because a 12% fatality rate is nuts.
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It’s obvious because no one has estimated the fatality rate at 12%. But some scientists have estimated it at 0.12%
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Scott, several large antibody studies in the US, Germany, Netherlands, and even the recent NY study put the actual mortality rate closer to .5%. (Range of roughly .12% - .66%). If you extrapolate out the Diamond Princess, it too is around .5%.
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