Thought experiment: Given that flattening the curve simply postpones infections as opposed to stopping them, should the places with the least current impact be trying to AVOID infections or trying to INCREASE infections to get herd immunity, short of crashing hospitals?
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That's true. And probably the only way flattening the curve actually leads to decrease in cases is a vaccine but absent a vaccine cases remain constant. I guess the question is, worth keep a very flat curve until a vaccine? Possibly 18 or 24 months? My hunch is no
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Because of the # of DEATHS and the flattening of curves over time in these well illustrated simulations.https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/ …
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Thanks for sharing. Not sure this explains long-term total exposure count factors. But this is in the neighborhood of what I was imagining might be a factor – when spread is slow enough (R0 effectively lowered?) can it run its course without infecting up to full 'herd immunity'?
End of conversation
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