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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 17 Apr 2020

      Thought experiment: Given that flattening the curve simply postpones infections as opposed to stopping them, should the places with the least current impact be trying to AVOID infections or trying to INCREASE infections to get herd immunity, short of crashing hospitals?

      494 replies 147 retweets 1,050 likes
    2. Devin Roesler‏ @Doc_Roesler 17 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      This is why the whole crush the curve or nuke the curve talk annoys me. We just prolong the inevitable. No matter how flat it gets the area of the curve stays the same. Not to mention, death protections should stay relatively constant if hospitals are not overwhelmed.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 17 Apr 2020
      Replying to @Doc_Roesler @ScottAdamsSays

      I do not believe it is true that 'the area under the curve is always the same', i.e. that same total infection/death count is inevitable. This thread would benefit from insights from those who study this topic for a living.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 17 Apr 2020
      Replying to @geoffmprice @Doc_Roesler

      What would be the argument for why flattening the curve results in fewer total deaths in the long run? Are you betting on something getting invented before the long run happens?

      9:16 AM - 17 Apr 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Devin Roesler
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Mark Kinsey‏ @mwk24 17 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @geoffmprice @Doc_Roesler

          Obvious argument would be that treatment is improving appreciably over time. I don’t have any data to support this but it seems reasonable

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Devin Roesler‏ @Doc_Roesler 17 Apr 2020
          Replying to @mwk24 @ScottAdamsSays @geoffmprice

          That's a fair argument. Prone position, drugs, vent settings ect. Still, not sure those will make significant difference outside of miracle cute

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Don Keigh‏ @trixareforlibs 17 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @geoffmprice @Doc_Roesler

          My opinion: Eventually we achieve herd immunity - about 70% of us have antibodies. We get antibodies via surviving the illness or getting a vaccine. Letting the virus rip through the population means more of the former. Flattening the curve (hopefully) means more of the latter.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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