If you are surprised that a complex prediction model did not accurately predict the future, the problem is on your end. Why did you ever think that was a thing?
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It absolutely did not "size the risk" well. In fact, it failed miserably as "sizing the risk".
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If not, you're the one failing miserably at interpreting usefulness. It's one or the other, but you're still alive so it doesn't matter which is the real failure. Congratulations!
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So the [expectedly innacurate] models somehow correctly sized the risk?
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That part about persuading the public only works once. Next time, the models will be laughed at. Thanks for explaining this.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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On the plus side, everyone who just learned it will advance to the next level in The Simulation.
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Why did the people in charge not convey this level of humility?
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I'm sure lying will work just as well next time.
End of conversation
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