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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 15 Apr 2020

      If you are surprised that a complex prediction model did not accurately predict the future, the problem is on your end. Why did you ever think that was a thing?

      515 replies 342 retweets 2,133 likes
    2. Stephanie‏ @tebbie1 15 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      From @ThomasEWoods : "Oh, sure! A model that the authorities explicitly rely on, and use to justify confining people in their homes, destroying their livelihoods, and putting their hopes, dreams, and aspirations on indefinite hold, isn't meant to be taken literally..."

      5 replies 3 retweets 100 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 15 Apr 2020
      Replying to @tebbie1 @ThomasEWoods

      They relied on it to size the risk in the face of great unknowns. It did that well. And it persuaded the public. That’s all models of this sort do.

      8:32 AM - 15 Apr 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 37 Likes
      • Secessio Plebis Lee Tucker Louie Lozano andrew Arb Jeffrey M Tietjen Kevin Watson Deplorable chump amw (Biden delenda est) James Morrissey
      23 replies 2 retweets 37 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. IntenseLogik‏ @IntenseLogik 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @tebbie1 @ThomasEWoods

          It absolutely did not "size the risk" well. In fact, it failed miserably as "sizing the risk".

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Marty Blartfast‏ @Munchensenton 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @IntenseLogik @ScottAdamsSays and

          If not, you're the one failing miserably at interpreting usefulness. It's one or the other, but you're still alive so it doesn't matter which is the real failure. Congratulations!

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
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        1. Pronoun(s): "Wearing a Mask"‏ @LithiumLinus 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @tebbie1 @ThomasEWoods

          So the [expectedly innacurate] models somehow correctly sized the risk?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Fair Conservative‏ @grandfatha1 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @tebbie1 @ThomasEWoods

          That part about persuading the public only works once. Next time, the models will be laughed at. Thanks for explaining this.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @SutcliffeDavid @tebbie1 @ThomasEWoods

          On the plus side, everyone who just learned it will advance to the next level in The Simulation.

          1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Tom Woods‏ @ThomasEWoods 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @tebbie1

          Why did the people in charge not convey this level of humility?

          4 replies 1 retweet 53 likes
        3. Koen‏ @KoenSwinkels 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ThomasEWoods @ScottAdamsSays @tebbie1

          I'm sure lying will work just as well next time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation

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