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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 15 Apr 2020

      If you are surprised that a complex prediction model did not accurately predict the future, the problem is on your end. Why did you ever think that was a thing?

      515 replies 342 retweets 2,133 likes
    2. Frank‏ @bubbagump64 15 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      Then why use the same model to push policy measures?

      5 replies 1 retweet 58 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 15 Apr 2020
      Replying to @bubbagump64

      Because models are useful for sizing risks. They are not useful for predicting what DOES happen. Only what could.

      8:20 AM - 15 Apr 2020
      • 50 Likes
      • Dan Alban David Strieter MycoNationalist Just Ray Harris Eric Allie Carole King ../* Michael VanLoon
      25 replies 0 retweets 50 likes
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        2. Frank‏ @bubbagump64 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

          Except the variance on the risk metrics make any estimate on upper/lower bound basically worthless.

          2 replies 0 retweets 23 likes
        3. 𝚜𝚊𝚝𝚘𝚜𝚑𝚒 𝚐𝚕𝚘𝚌𝚔𝚊𝚖𝚘𝚝𝚘‏ @glockamoto 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @bubbagump64 @ScottAdamsSays

          Instead of any numeric prediction, the model should just return the word “PANIC!"

          2 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. IvanP  🇺🇸‏ @Ivan_Pytski 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @bubbagump64

          BS lies.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. The Watcher‏ @TheWatcherSeven 15 Apr 2020

          How useful are sizing models used to try on lingerie in all sizes 0 - 14?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
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        2. Richard‏ @cherry_ives 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @Captain_Trips27 @ScottAdamsSays @bubbagump64

          😷Modeler is in park lot at baseball park🥎 He bats a ball🥎 I expect it to land inside the park and best inside white base lines. Agenda driven WHO and billion💰vaccine giant CDC are always going to bat ball into street traffic🦠Their intended boundries not good for humanity💔🙏🏻

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. Beet Farmer‏ @farmer_beet 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @bubbagump64

          Models should be useful for sizing risks. This model was not useful at all. That’s the problem, not that it wasn’t accurate.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Rick Lawson‏ @RickLawson3 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @bubbagump64

          You don’t need to spend money developing a model to find out what “could” happen. Anything “could” happen In this case, a model was used to lend (supposed) credibility to justify extreme gov action. It’s still implied that the dire predictions were avoided by actions taken

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. MadderMartigan‏ @Madder_Martigan 15 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @bubbagump64

          literally any idiot off the street can make predictions about what COULD happen. we should absolutely expect models from the supposed experts - which are relied upon to dictate policy - to be more reliable than 'well it COULD have happened'

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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