If you are surprised that a complex prediction model did not accurately predict the future, the problem is on your end. Why did you ever think that was a thing?
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I predict that you need to give me all your money to avert disaster. There is no guarantee that my prediction is remotely accurate. If you give me the money, and no disaster happens, you still have no way of knowing if it actually helped avert the disaster. So win win, right?
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