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How wrong were the death estimates from February?
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No evidence they were wrong at all.
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Freedom doesn’t require an impact analysis
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Absolutely it does as all things do risk/reward ratios runs all decision making, As there are no solutions only trade offs.
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This article has a model made on Apr 6 that still held on Apr 13, and includes python code so anyone can check the math. Predicts 180k deaths in the US, 75 day duration, mortality of 0.045%, mitigation makes less difference than perhaps thought: https://medium.com/@ali_razavian/covid-19-from-a-data-scientists-perspective-95bd4e84843b … Thoughts?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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What are the death estimates via economic collapse? I haven't seen the models yet. 22 yrs on the railroad and things are getting dicey for me. Great times.....
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My cousin got diagnosed with 4th stage colon cancer 6 weeks ago. So thankful his appointment wasn't 5 weeks ago. Thousands will go without diagnosis for serious ailments because of this panic.
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The thought of disease is a primal fear that hijacks the higher brain functions. Scott is old, has many risk factors, and he doesn't believe in an afterlife. His fear is understandable, but as long as this goes on, he'll have nothing worthwhile to contribute to the conversation.
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I would think it's fairly apparent where the number are coming from, hell you could run them yourself if you wanted but i guess its far easier to assume since you don't like something then it must not be true.
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