Thread, Covid-19: May we first go about resolving its ambiguities?
First as to what constitutes covid-19 death? Principle of infectiology requires causal chain
"Suspected without being tested" = assuming large % of pop infected, deaths "due" to Covid-19 = +/- overall death ratehttps://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1250194403789963264 …
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Well, when did that ever stop the experts?

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You never know what info will come out...stranger things have happened.
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Would "how it comes back" help answer some questions? Just musing. Seems like a fair question. But maybe not.
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Think We will know but such knowledge will be discredited & hole-picked.
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this is why NNT's thinking in this space is so appealing. He rejects the models too. His idea is simple [YOU CAN'T PREDICT]. In the face of opacity where the impacts are large...act with precaution. Its really not hard.
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I believe the summary is 200,000 including those miscoded. If less, the likelihood that experts were wrong outweighs the likelihood that preventions saved 2 million + lives. If I read Adam correctly.
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What you've offered me as a summary presupposes that i'm willing to accept a bifurcation, I am not. I do not feel my addressing the ambiguity of your question lacked forthrightness or imprecision
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No the reaction wasn't overdone. According to CDC data, a very bad flu (eg 2017-2018) had a peak week with 1600 deaths in U.S. A peak week of Coronavirus will have 13,000 deaths in U.S. WITH a global shutdown. It's massive and terrible in its devastation in that short a time.
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