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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
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@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Jordan Schachtel‏Verified account @JordanSchachtel 10 Apr 2020

      Jordan Schachtel Retweeted

      Funny u say that now. We were told w 100% certainty that such & such would happen if we did not act immediately, & all policy action was based on models. Not only that, we who stood up to "expert modeling consensus" were relentlessly attacked as "deniers." https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1248610181597900803?s=20 …

      Jordan Schachtel added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      38 replies 119 retweets 412 likes
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      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @JordanSchachtel

      For the record, I have always said models do not predict the future. This was no exception.

      8:57 AM - 10 Apr 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 10 Likes
      • Debra Hubert Denis Murphy susan smith Deplorable chump amw (Biden delenda est) Julie "Doctor" Quixotic Prescient Analysis Jason kamal shaaban
      9 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
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        2. Rocky Mountain High‏ @CO_Block_Chain 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          I guess my company should scrap our inventory forecasting model which has an adjusted r squared of .92. I will tell them Scott Adams says it is not useful in predicting the future. Should be a fun discussion.

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
        3. Alan‏ @Alan03269624 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @CO_Block_Chain @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          Your company has probably been forecasting inventory for many years & is really good at it. And when they started forecasting; may have implemented some of the recommendations slowly & via small proof of concepts; instead of the Big Bang approach with the new COVID-19 models.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Samwiswe‏ @Samwiswe 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          Caveats don't matter, the info used to compel the destruction of 20 million lives better be right. If we had seen this before (taking NYC subways still being open into account) there is no way America would have accepted the price. #Iraq

          0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        1. Mostly harmful‏ @forgues_michel 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          If you put time on the x axis, yes, you're predicting the future.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. El Lobo De Tejas  🔥‏ @DALopezTX 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          Seems sensible that a model cant adequately forecast a future with any sort of precision, particularly if the key variable is human behavior. You are talking about a seemingly endless stream of counter factuals to account for.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Dale‏ @DBCopa 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          If models don’t model (predict) the future reasonably well what good are they???

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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        1. Bruce Karsten‏ @Locke8900 10 Apr 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JordanSchachtel

          Scott, I'd appreciate it if you'd bound the definition of model. There are models that are accurate/predictive such as for physical or logical processes. i.e. models for resistors are quite accurate for predicting the current flow given V diff.

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