I only ask because virus prediction models are being called defective based on the fact they do not accurately predict the future.
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If this keeps up its gonna be 30 in nyc alone
End of conversation
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Social distancing was built into the model from the start. For any state not on lockdown, it was assumed that lockdown would start 7 days later. So the 900K assumed distancing. "Mitigation" did not suddenly appear outside the model.
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The doomsayers never get to lose.
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The error is big enough to indicate bad assumptions and a misunderstanding of the disease. Not confidence inspiring
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What about 2-3 million and 60k?
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