Prediction models are built to persuade the public toward expert consensus. They are not snapshots of the future. Debating the accuracy of models misses the point of them. #coronavirus
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The problem is, like the coup attempt, there is no penalty for fraud and injustice at the top. Entire generation of morally and ethically devoid frauds skimming off of each of us.
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Though it is very concerning.
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There is something fundamentally wrong and dishonest in building a model based on your preferred outcome instead of objective data.
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We have a winner
End of conversation
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Here I fixed it: “Which means it shouldn’t be trusted as a factual model, but a projected outcome worthy of criticism.”
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Or right
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Scott, I'm a big fan, but you've lost a step in these last few weeks. You are simply rationalizing fraud. If there was such a "consensus" they wouldn't have to "persuade" with their "models". Was their consensus with all the Covid-19 models? Of course not.
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Great misdirection there Scott. The subject was not the consensus but the science.
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Consensus first, "science" later lol.
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That's not quite what he's saying. There is a consensus of likely outcomes. Modelers make various models. Models which do not match the likely outcomes are considered "invalid" by the modelers. The valids that match are picked to provide viz for what the experts want to show.
End of conversation
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